Language:English
Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maya Joint (Local)
Prediction 29.65%3.37fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.744%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.22%29.72%29.67%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.143.4633.33%31.66%31.85%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 70.35%1.42fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.28%70.33%71.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.06%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maya Joint (Local): 29.65%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 70.35%. For Maya Joint (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +2.57%E +0.744%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.795%E +0.234%K +0.331%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -1.28%E -0.385%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 09:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -9.88%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -2.21%E -1.59%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 17:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |