Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-08-07 19:03 UTC

Final: Maya Joint 1–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint (Local)

Previsão 29.65%3.37odd justa
EV +2.57%
Vantagem +0.744%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.22%29.72%29.67%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.163.143.4633.33%31.66%31.85%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 70.35%1.42odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.28%70.33%71.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.06%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maya Joint (Local): 29.65%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 70.35%. Para Maya Joint (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.37. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.46, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +2.57%E +0.744%K +1.05%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 18:05
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.795%E +0.234%K +0.331%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -1.28%E -0.385%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 18:49
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:50
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 18:00
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 17:49
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 15:45
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:01
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:01
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:00
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 18:01
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 18:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:01
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:00
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:50
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:00
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:00
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:55
Betsson🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 18:00
NordicBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 17:49
GTbets🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 09:40
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 09:39
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:51
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:51
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 10:46
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:50
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -9.88%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -2.21%E -1.59%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:55
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:55
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 10:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 17:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 17:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Novig◎3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%0.9%2026-08-07 18:50
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-08-07 18:55
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-08-07 18:55