Langue:Français
Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Maya Joint (Local)
Prévision 29.65%3.37cote équitable
EV +2.57%
Avantage +0.744%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 3.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.22%29.72%29.67%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.143.4633.33%31.66%31.85%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.35%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%70.28%70.33%71.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.06%73.53%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maya Joint (Local) : 29.65% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 70.35%. Pour Maya Joint (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.46, soit une espérance positive de +2.57%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +2.57%E +0.744%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.795%E +0.234%K +0.331%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -1.28%E -0.385%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 09:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -9.88%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -2.21%E -1.59%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 17:48 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |