Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint (Local)

Predicción 34.24%2.92momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.478%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.28%34.15%35.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.742.752.8839.22%36.50%36.36%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Predicción 65.76%1.52momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -8.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.53%65.72%65.85%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.431.441.4672.99%69.69%69.44%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Maya Joint (Local): 34.24%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 65.76%. Para Maya Joint (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.92. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.88, con un valor esperado de -1.38%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.38%E -0.478%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 04:59
DraftKings🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.75%E -0.967%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:35
FanDuel🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -3.43%E -1.22%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 05:00
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 07:25
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 06:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 06:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.94%E -5.67%K -19.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 05:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.80%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.80%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 06:25
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.49%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 05:09
Betsson🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -5.49%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 06:24
NordicBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -5.49%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 06:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:25
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:29
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:04
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 07:35
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 06:25
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.94%E -5.67%K -19.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 04:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.94%E -5.67%K -19.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 06:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:30
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 06:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.94%E -5.67%K -19.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.25%E -3.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.25%E -3.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.94%E -5.67%K -19.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 06:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.28%E -3.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 07:39
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.28%E -3.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 07:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.96%E -4.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.60%E -6.19%K -22.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 06:23
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.96%E -4.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.60%E -6.19%K -22.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -12.68%E -4.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -9.92%E -7.24%K -26.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 06:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%6.4%2026-08-06 07:35
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%12.4%2026-08-06 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 50.00%1.24I 80.65%NM 50.00%61.3%2026-08-06 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 50.00%1.24I 80.65%NM 50.00%61.3%2026-08-06 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 50.00%1.24I 80.65%NM 50.00%61.3%2026-08-06 08:35
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 50.21%1.21I 82.64%NM 49.79%66.0%2026-08-06 08:25