Idioma:Español
Maya Joint v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maya Joint (Local)
Predicción 29.65%3.37momio equitativo
EV +2.57%
Ventaja +0.744%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.22%29.72%29.67%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.143.4633.33%31.66%31.85%28.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 70.35%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.28%70.33%71.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.06%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maya Joint (Local): 29.65%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 70.35%. Para Maya Joint (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.37. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.46, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.57%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +2.57%E +0.744%K +1.05%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.795%E +0.234%K +0.331%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -1.28%E -0.385%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 09:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 10:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -9.88%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -2.21%E -1.59%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 17:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |