Language:English
Marta Kostyuk v Katherine Sebov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Prediction 91.72%1.09fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -46.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%91.72%91.40%93.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.17%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katherine Sebov (Visit)
Prediction 8.28%12.07fair odd
EV +32.54%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.706%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.05%8.28%8.60%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0011.4011.0016.0012.50%8.77%9.09%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 91.72%; Katherine Sebov (Visit): 8.28%. For Katherine Sebov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.07. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +32.54%E +2.03%K +2.17%G +0.706% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +27.57%E +1.79%K +1.91%G +0.528% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.38%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 14.67I 6.82%NM 6.62%EV +21.52%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.339% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +15.97%E +1.14%K +1.23%G +0.196% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.93%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 13.80I 7.25%NM 7.07%EV +14.31%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.160% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.598%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.598%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -3.08%E -0.264%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.17%E -0.271%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.17%E -0.271%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.23%E -0.645%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -10.95%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 09:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.09%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV -16.75%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 18:27 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 10:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.24%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.24%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -21.31%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 09:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.45%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -33.73%E -4.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 18:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -33.73%E -4.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.54% | 18.18I 5.50%NM 5.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 18:30 |