StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk v Katherine Sebov

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 18:34 UTC

Slutresultat: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Katherine Sebov

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk (Hemma)

Prognos 91.72%1.09rättvist odds
EV -2.78%
Fördel -2.62%
Kelly -46.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
88.30%91.72%91.40%93.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.17%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Katherine Sebov (Borta)

Prognos 8.28%12.07rättvist odds
EV +32.54%
Fördel +2.03%
Kelly +2.17%
Tillväxt +0.706%

med antagandet om högsta odds 16.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.05%8.28%8.60%11.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.0011.4011.0016.0012.50%8.77%9.09%6.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marta Kostyuk (Hemma): 91.72%; Katherine Sebov (Borta): 8.28%. För Katherine Sebov (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.07. 16 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 16.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +32.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +32.54%E +2.03%K +2.17%G +0.706%3.3%2026-08-04 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +27.57%E +1.79%K +1.91%G +0.528%2.6%2026-08-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420%3.8%2026-08-03 15:10
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420%3.8%2026-08-03 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420%3.8%2026-08-04 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.38%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%14.67I 6.82%NM 6.62%EV +21.52%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.339%3.0%2026-08-04 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +15.97%E +1.14%K +1.23%G +0.196%5.2%2026-08-04 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.93%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 7.07%EV +14.31%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.160%2.5%2026-08-04 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%2.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%3.8%2026-08-04 10:29
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%6.7%2026-08-03 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%6.7%2026-08-03 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.598%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 10:29
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.598%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:10
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -3.08%E -0.264%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.17%E -0.271%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.17%E -0.271%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.23%E -0.645%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 18:34
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:55
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:10
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 21:49
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -10.95%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.09%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:20
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV -16.75%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 18:27
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:25
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 10:04
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 09:55
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.24%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.24%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -21.31%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.45%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 09:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -33.73%E -4.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -33.73%E -4.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.54%18.18I 5.50%NM 5.46%0.7%2026-08-04 18:30
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-08-04 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.3%2026-08-04 18:25
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.3%2026-08-04 18:30