Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk v Katherine Sebov

Inizio: 2026-08-04 18:34 UTC

Finale: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Katherine Sebov

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk (Casa)

Previsione 91.72%1.09quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -2.62%
Kelly -46.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
88.30%91.72%91.40%93.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.17%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Katherine Sebov (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.28%12.07quota equa
EV +32.54%
Vantaggio +2.03%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescita +0.706%

ipotizzando la quota massima 16.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.05%8.28%8.60%11.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0011.4011.0016.0012.50%8.77%9.09%6.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Marta Kostyuk (Casa): 91.72%; Katherine Sebov (Trasferta): 8.28%. Per Katherine Sebov (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 12.07. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 16.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +32.54%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +32.54%E +2.03%K +2.17%G +0.706%3.3%2026-08-04 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +27.57%E +1.79%K +1.91%G +0.528%2.6%2026-08-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420%3.8%2026-08-03 15:10
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420%3.8%2026-08-03 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +24.25%E +1.62%K +1.73%G +0.420%3.8%2026-08-04 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.38%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%14.67I 6.82%NM 6.62%EV +21.52%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.339%3.0%2026-08-04 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +15.97%E +1.14%K +1.23%G +0.196%5.2%2026-08-04 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.93%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 7.07%EV +14.31%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.160%2.5%2026-08-04 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%2.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%3.8%2026-08-04 10:29
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%5.7%2026-08-04 18:30
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%6.7%2026-08-03 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.69%E +0.591%K +0.640%G +0.049%6.7%2026-08-03 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.598%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 10:29
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.598%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:10
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -3.08%E -0.264%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.17%E -0.271%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.17%E -0.271%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -7.23%E -0.645%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 18:34
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:55
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:10
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 21:49
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -10.95%E -1.02%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.09%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:20
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -7.37%E -7.29%K -736.63%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV -16.75%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 18:27
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:25
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 10:04
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.53%E -5.37%K -184.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.45%E -6.32%K -322.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.17%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 09:55
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.24%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.24%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.61%E -4.44%K -115.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -21.31%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.70%E -3.52%K -73.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.45%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 09:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -33.73%E -4.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.78%E -2.62%K -46.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -33.73%E -4.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.54%18.18I 5.50%NM 5.46%0.7%2026-08-04 18:30
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-08-04 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.3%2026-08-04 18:25
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.3%2026-08-04 18:30