Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Katherine Sebov

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 90.75%1.10odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -41.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.68%90.59%90.50%92.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.041.051.0797.09%95.76%95.24%93.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Katherine Sebov (Visitante)

Previsão 9.25%10.81odd justa
EV +25.84%
Vantagem +1.90%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescimento +0.530%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.17%9.41%9.50%13.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.7010.0810.0013.6014.93%9.92%10.00%7.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 90.75%; Katherine Sebov (Visitante): 9.25%. Para Katherine Sebov (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 10.81. 10 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 13.60, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +25.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 92.83%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 7.17%EV +25.84%E +1.90%K +2.05%G +0.530%2.6%2026-08-03 05:19
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +20.29%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.343%3.8%2026-08-03 05:20
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +20.29%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.343%3.8%2026-08-03 05:19
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 92.26%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.74%EV +14.74%E +1.19%K +1.29%G +0.191%4.2%2026-08-03 05:14
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.04%E +0.920%K +1.00%G +0.111%5.4%2026-08-03 05:20
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.04%E +0.920%K +1.00%G +0.111%5.4%2026-08-03 05:30
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.04%E +0.920%K +1.00%G +0.111%5.4%2026-08-03 05:30
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV +4.10%E +0.364%K +0.400%G +0.016%5.0%2026-08-03 07:13
1xBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV +3.63%E +0.324%K +0.356%G +0.013%5.1%2026-08-03 07:14
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +1.78%E +0.162%K +0.178%G +0.003%5.2%2026-08-03 05:20
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -5.16%E -0.503%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 07:14
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:09
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:29
Bally Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:30
Hard Rock Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:30
betfred_uk1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.47%E -0.747%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 07:14
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.10%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:10
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.10%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 05:15
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -12.10%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.72%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 07:09
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -16.72%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 05:10
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.90%E -2.71%K -41.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -21.35%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:40
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.81%E -3.59%K -63.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.35%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 05:59
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -21.35%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 05:39
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -22.27%E -2.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 07:09
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 87.68%EV -5.62%E -5.41%K -140.58%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.32%EV -31.53%E -4.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 07:09
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -35.23%E -5.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-03 07:10
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 86.68%EV -6.53%E -6.34%K -217.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.32%EV -38.00%E -5.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-03 07:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 86.50%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.50%12.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 51.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 48.84%86.1%2026-08-03 06:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 51.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 48.84%86.1%2026-08-03 06:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 51.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 48.84%86.1%2026-08-03 06:35