Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula v Kamilla Rakhimova

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 18:08 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Kamilla Rakhimova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prediction 86.84%1.15fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -14.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.81%86.69%86.85%88.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.64%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit)

Prediction 13.16%7.60fair odd
EV +11.85%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.187%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.37%13.31%13.15%16.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.857.057.008.5017.09%14.18%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 86.84%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit): 13.16%. For Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.60. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%3.5%2026-08-06 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%3.4%2026-08-06 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%5.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%5.1%2026-08-06 16:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV +3.95%E +0.501%K +0.573%G +0.023%6.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV +2.24%E +0.289%K +0.331%G +0.007%3.0%2026-08-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +1.32%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003%3.9%2026-08-06 18:01
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 18:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:10
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.02%E -0.410%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.02%E -0.410%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.60%E -0.634%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 08:09
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:06
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 17:34
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.48%EV -7.10%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:25
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:55
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:30
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -8.55%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:20
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -9.86%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 18:06
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -10.52%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.17%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 13.83%EV -10.65%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 08:10
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.84%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 04:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 11:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:04
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -17.76%E -2.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.74%E -2.44%K -22.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.87%E -1.65%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -23.02%E -3.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-08-06 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.9%2026-08-06 18:06
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%2.3%2026-08-06 17:55