Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Kamilla Rakhimova

Início: 2026-08-06 18:08 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Kamilla Rakhimova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 86.84%1.15odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -14.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.81%86.69%86.85%88.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.64%91.74%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante)

Previsão 13.16%7.60odd justa
EV +11.85%
Vantagem +1.39%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescimento +0.187%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.37%13.31%13.15%16.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.857.057.008.5017.09%14.18%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 86.84%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante): 13.16%. Para Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.60. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%3.5%2026-08-06 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%3.4%2026-08-06 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%5.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%5.1%2026-08-06 16:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV +3.95%E +0.501%K +0.573%G +0.023%6.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV +2.24%E +0.289%K +0.331%G +0.007%3.0%2026-08-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +1.32%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003%3.9%2026-08-06 18:01
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 18:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:10
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.02%E -0.410%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.02%E -0.410%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.60%E -0.634%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 08:09
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:06
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 17:34
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.48%EV -7.10%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:25
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:55
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:30
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -8.55%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:20
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -9.86%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 18:06
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -10.52%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.17%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 13.83%EV -10.65%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 08:10
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.84%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 04:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 11:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:04
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -17.76%E -2.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.74%E -2.44%K -22.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.87%E -1.65%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -23.02%E -3.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-08-06 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.9%2026-08-06 18:06
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%2.3%2026-08-06 17:55