Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Kamilla Rakhimova

2026-08-06 17:40 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 85.25%1.17momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -6.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.13%85.00%85.49%86.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.111.1692.59%89.21%90.09%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante)

Predicción 14.75%6.78momio equitativo
EV +6.16%
Ventaja +0.856%
Kelly +0.994%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.25%15.00%14.51%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.906.056.107.2020.41%16.54%16.39%13.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jessica Pegula (Local): 85.25%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante): 14.75%. Para Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.78. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.16%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +6.16%E +0.856%K +0.994%G +0.061%4.8%2026-08-05 20:14
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +4.69%E +0.661%K +0.769%G +0.036%5.0%2026-08-05 20:45
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.66%E -3.24%K -28.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%2.8%2026-08-05 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-08-05 21:00
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-08-05 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.22%E +0.459%K +0.536%G +0.017%5.2%2026-08-05 22:10
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.470%E -0.070%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:19
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -2.68%E -0.406%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 23:44
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:50
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:50
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.07%E -6.49%K -78.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.92%E -7.34%K -99.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 21:39
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -4.75%E -0.735%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55%EV -4.75%E -0.735%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -7.07%E -6.49%K -78.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -8.58%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 22:30
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.22%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.78%EV -8.73%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 20:50
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -2.81%E -2.46%K -20.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -9.32%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.38%EV -4.51%E -4.03%K -37.62%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.62%EV -10.79%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.51%E -4.03%K -37.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:45
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.37%E -4.84%K -48.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 20:10
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.22%E -5.65%K -62.20%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -13.00%E -2.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -7.07%E -6.49%K -78.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -17.43%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 20:53
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.51%E -4.03%K -37.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.51%E -4.03%K -37.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -7.92%E -7.34%K -99.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-05 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -1.96%E -1.70%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -22.59%E -4.30%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:55
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -1.10%E -0.952%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -23.33%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -2.81%E -2.46%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -27.75%E -5.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%5.4%2026-08-06 01:40
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%8.7%2026-08-06 01:40
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%9.6%2026-08-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 79.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%19.6%2026-08-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 79.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%19.6%2026-08-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 79.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%19.6%2026-08-06 00:40