Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula v Kamilla Rakhimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 18:08 UTC

Score final : Jessica Pegula 2–0 Kamilla Rakhimova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 86.84%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -14.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.81%86.69%86.85%88.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.64%91.74%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.16%7.60cote équitable
EV +11.85%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.37%13.31%13.15%16.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.857.057.008.5017.09%14.18%14.29%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 86.84% ; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur) : 13.16%. Pour Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.60. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +11.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%3.5%2026-08-06 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%3.4%2026-08-06 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%5.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%5.1%2026-08-06 16:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.27%E +0.659%K +0.753%G +0.040%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV +3.95%E +0.501%K +0.573%G +0.023%6.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV +2.24%E +0.289%K +0.331%G +0.007%3.0%2026-08-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +1.32%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003%3.9%2026-08-06 18:01
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 18:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:10
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.31%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.02%E -0.410%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.02%E -0.410%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.60%E -0.634%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 08:09
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:06
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 17:34
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.48%EV -7.10%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:25
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -7.49%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:55
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:30
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -8.55%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:20
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -9.86%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 18:06
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -10.52%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.17%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 13.83%EV -10.65%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 08:10
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -11.18%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.84%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 04:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 11:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:04
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -17.76%E -2.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 18:06
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.74%E -2.44%K -22.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -1.87%E -1.65%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -23.02%E -3.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-08-06 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-08-06 18:06
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.9%2026-08-06 18:06
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%2.3%2026-08-06 17:55