Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -8.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.43%65.92%65.85%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4672.46%70.04%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.920%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.08%34.15%35.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.792.8840.00%36.28%35.84%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jessica Pegula (Local): 65.88%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 34.12%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.88, with an expected value of -1.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.82%E -2.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.82%E -2.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:40
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.82%E -2.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:41
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:50
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.82%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 02:01
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.73%E -0.600%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 02:01
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.75%E -0.966%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.14%E -1.85%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 03:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 03:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 03:11
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:25
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:05
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:41
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.73%E -0.600%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 05:46
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 01:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 03:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:39
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:16
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:56
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 06:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 01:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.11%E -5.04%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.58%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 03:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 02:01
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 03:15
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 01:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 06:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 03:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.87%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 05:44
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 01:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -9.09%E -6.59%K -23.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.9%2026-08-07 06:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%5.2%2026-08-07 06:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%5.2%2026-08-07 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%5.2%2026-08-07 06:15
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 64.62%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.38%12.1%2026-08-07 01:55