Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 70.40%1.42fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -7.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.86%70.52%70.20%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.341.3878.74%74.85%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visit)
Prediction 29.60%3.38fair odd
EV +7.14%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +2.73%
Growth +0.195%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%29.48%29.80%32.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.213.203.6235.09%31.17%31.30%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 70.40%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 29.60%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV +7.14%E +1.97%K +2.73%G +0.195% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.89%E -7.72%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.07%E +1.43%K +1.99%G +0.101% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.59%E +1.03%K +1.44%G +0.052% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 19:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -1.44%E -0.432%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.58%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 18:52 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.69%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.65%E -5.49%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |