Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider

Início: 2026-08-08 19:10 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 70.40%1.42odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -7.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.86%70.52%70.20%73.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.341.341.3878.74%74.85%74.63%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Previsão 29.60%3.38odd justa
EV +7.14%
Vantagem +1.97%
Kelly +2.73%
Crescimento +0.195%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.08%29.48%29.80%32.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.213.203.6235.09%31.17%31.30%27.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 70.40%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 29.60%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.38. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.62, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV +7.14%E +1.97%K +2.73%G +0.195%2.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165%4.1%2026-08-08 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165%6.5%2026-08-08 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.89%E -7.72%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.07%E +1.43%K +1.99%G +0.101%6.3%2026-08-08 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.59%E +1.03%K +1.44%G +0.052%3.2%2026-08-08 19:07
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004%4.0%2026-08-08 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004%4.0%2026-08-08 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-08 18:54
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-08 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 18:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 18:25
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:05
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:09
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:54
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -1.44%E -0.432%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 17:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 17:04
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 18:55
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:24
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:53
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.58%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:52
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:08
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:24
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:09
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:08
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:09
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:09
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.69%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.65%E -5.49%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 19:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-08 19:10
ProphetX◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-08 19:10