Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 19:10 UTC

Score final : Jessica Pegula 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 70.40%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -7.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.86%70.52%70.20%73.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.341.341.3878.74%74.85%74.63%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.60%3.38cote équitable
EV +7.14%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +2.73%
Croissance +0.195%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%29.48%29.80%32.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.213.203.6235.09%31.17%31.30%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 70.40% ; Diana Shnaider (Visiteur) : 29.60%. Pour Diana Shnaider (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.62, soit une espérance positive de +7.14%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV +7.14%E +1.97%K +2.73%G +0.195%2.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165%4.1%2026-08-08 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165%6.5%2026-08-08 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.89%E -7.72%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.07%E +1.43%K +1.99%G +0.101%6.3%2026-08-08 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.59%E +1.03%K +1.44%G +0.052%3.2%2026-08-08 19:07
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004%4.0%2026-08-08 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004%4.0%2026-08-08 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-08 18:54
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%4.6%2026-08-08 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 18:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 18:25
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:05
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-08 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:09
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:54
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -1.44%E -0.432%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 17:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 17:04
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 18:55
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:24
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:53
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.58%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:52
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:08
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:24
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:09
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:08
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:09
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:09
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.69%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.65%E -5.49%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 19:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-08 19:10
ProphetX◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-08 19:10