Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 70.40%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -7.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.86%70.52%70.20%73.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.341.341.3878.74%74.85%74.63%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Diana Shnaider (Visitante)
Predicción 29.60%3.38momio equitativo
EV +7.14%
Ventaja +1.97%
Kelly +2.73%
Crecimiento +0.195%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%29.48%29.80%32.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.213.203.6235.09%31.17%31.30%27.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 70.40%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 29.60%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.38. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV +7.14%E +1.97%K +2.73%G +0.195% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +6.55%E +1.82%K +2.52%G +0.165% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.89%E -7.72%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.07%E +1.43%K +1.99%G +0.101% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.59%E +1.03%K +1.44%G +0.052% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 19:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV +0.928%E +0.272%K +0.385%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.632%E +0.186%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -10.59%E -8.34%K -39.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -0.848%E -0.253%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -1.44%E -0.432%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.33%E -0.705%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.58%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 18:52 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.77%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -10.32%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.84%E -2.06%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.66%E -4.22%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.36%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.69%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -15.65%E -5.49%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |