Language:English
Elise Mertens v Anna Bondár
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 71.05%1.41fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -7.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.97%70.91%71.06%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.56%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Bondár (Visit)
Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV +0.152%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.09%28.94%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.243.4633.33%31.14%30.86%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 71.05%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 28.95%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.152%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +0.152%E +0.044%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 09:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -9.69%E -3.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 18:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 10:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |