StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elise Mertens v Anna Bondár

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-05 20:44 UTC

Endstand: Elise Mertens 2–1 Anna Bondár

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elise Mertens (Heim)

Prognose 71.05%1.41faire Quote
EV -2.66%
Vorteil -1.94%
Kelly -7.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.97%70.91%71.06%72.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.56%74.63%72.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Anna Bondár (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.95%3.45faire Quote
EV +0.152%
Vorteil +0.044%
Kelly +0.062%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.66%29.09%28.94%31.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.213.243.4633.33%31.14%30.86%28.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Elise Mertens (Heim): 71.05%; Anna Bondár (Auswärts): 28.95%. Für Anna Bondár (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.45. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.46 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.152%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +0.152%E +0.044%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 19:50
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 09:05
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:50
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 09:45
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 09:45
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:45
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 09:45
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 09:45
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 20:05
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:40
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -9.69%E -3.11%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:34
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 18:14
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 10:51
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:38
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%2.6%2026-08-05 20:15
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-05 19:15