Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens v Anna Bondár

2026-08-05 19:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Predicción 72.44%1.38momio equitativo
EV -0.756%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.97%72.18%72.49%73.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.311.3779.37%75.73%76.34%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.786%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.302%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%27.82%27.51%31.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.323.6033.33%30.28%30.12%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elise Mertens (Local): 72.44%; Anna Bondár (Visitante): 27.56%. Para Elise Mertens (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.37, con un valor esperado de -0.756%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -0.756%E -0.552%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -0.756%E -0.552%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:25
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:34
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -2.21%E -1.63%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 15:00
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.63%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.95%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:20
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.21%E -1.63%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.32%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:15
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.65%E -2.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.786%E -0.218%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 14:14
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.65%E -2.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:15
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.65%E -2.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.65%E -2.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:49
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.65%E -2.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.65%E -2.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 14:54
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 11:35
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:15
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:39
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:00
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.99%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:49
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:59
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:55
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 14:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 11:39
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:00
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:00
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 22:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:45
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:14
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:45
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 14:59
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 15:00
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 01:49
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 01:49
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 14:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:43
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:35
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.28%E -5.68%K -25.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.00%E -6.30%K -29.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 21:24
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -8.00%E -6.30%K -29.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.72%E -6.92%K -33.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.94%E -5.23%K -7.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 72.52%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.48%3.7%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%3.8%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%4.3%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%4.3%2026-08-05 00:05
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%9.5%2026-08-04 21:15