Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elise Mertens v Anna Bondár

Inizio: 2026-08-05 20:44 UTC

Finale: Elise Mertens 2–1 Anna Bondár

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elise Mertens (Casa)

Previsione 71.05%1.41quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -1.94%
Kelly -7.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.97%70.91%71.06%72.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.56%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Anna Bondár (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.95%3.45quota equa
EV +0.152%
Vantaggio +0.044%
Kelly +0.062%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.66%29.09%28.94%31.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.243.4633.33%31.14%30.86%28.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Elise Mertens (Casa): 71.05%; Anna Bondár (Trasferta): 28.95%. Per Anna Bondár (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.45. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.46, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.152%.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +0.152%E +0.044%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 19:50
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.58%E -0.466%K -0.660%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 09:05
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.03%E -0.905%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.90%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:50
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 09:45
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 09:45
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:45
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 09:45
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 09:45
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 20:05
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:40
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -9.69%E -3.11%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 19:34
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 18:14
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 10:51
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:38
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.16%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%2.6%2026-08-05 20:15
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-05 19:15