Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 33.69%2.97fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.535%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.83%33.72%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.68%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 66.31%1.51fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.20%66.17%66.28%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.18%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 33.69%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 66.31%. For Elina Svitolina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.615%E -0.209%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 00:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.557%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 00:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.03%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -10.48%E -7.76%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.72%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 0.0% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |