Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-08-13 00:16 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 1–2 Iga Swiatek

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Previsão 33.69%2.97odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.356%
Kelly +0.535%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.82%33.83%33.72%35.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.68%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 66.31%1.51odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -5.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.20%66.17%66.28%68.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.18%70.42%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elina Svitolina (Local): 33.69%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 66.31%. Para Elina Svitolina (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.97. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 00:04
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 09:59
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.615%E -0.209%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:03
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.557%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 23:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 19:05
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 20:44
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 00:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 00:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 18:09
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 18:10
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:04
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 00:15
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:04
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 15:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 13:34
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:15
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:03
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 00:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.03%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 00:14
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 00:15
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 18:04
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 18:05
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -10.48%E -7.76%K -29.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-13 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.72%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%0.0%2026-08-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-13 00:05
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-08-13 00:15