Langue:Français
Elina Svitolina v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prévision 33.69%2.97cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.535%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%33.83%33.72%35.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.68%35.71%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 66.31%1.51cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -5.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.20%66.17%66.28%68.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.18%70.42%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elina Svitolina (Local) : 33.69% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 66.31%. Pour Elina Svitolina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.97. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.07%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.615%E -0.209%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 00:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.557%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 00:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.03%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -10.48%E -7.76%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.72%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 0.0% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 00:15 |