StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina v Iga Swiatek

Matchstart: 2026-08-13 00:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Elina Svitolina 1–2 Iga Swiatek

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina (Hemma)

Prognos 33.69%2.97rättvist odds
EV +1.07%
Fördel +0.356%
Kelly +0.535%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.82%33.83%33.72%35.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.68%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 66.31%1.51rättvist odds
EV -2.52%
Fördel -1.72%
Kelly -5.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.20%66.17%66.28%68.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.18%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elina Svitolina (Hemma): 33.69%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 66.31%. För Elina Svitolina (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.97. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.07%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 00:04
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.07%E +0.356%K +0.535%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 09:59
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.615%E -0.209%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:03
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.557%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 23:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.30%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 19:05
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 20:44
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 00:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 00:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 18:09
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 18:10
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:04
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 00:15
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:04
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 15:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 13:34
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:15
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:03
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 00:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.03%E -2.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 00:14
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 00:15
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 18:04
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 18:05
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -10.48%E -7.76%K -29.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-13 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.72%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%0.0%2026-08-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-13 00:05
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-13 00:05
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-08-13 00:15