StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Diana Shnaider v Iga Swiatek

Matchstart: 2026-08-10 23:08 UTC

Slutresultat: Diana Shnaider 0–2 Iga Swiatek

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Diana Shnaider (Hemma)

Prognos 27.80%3.60rättvist odds
EV -0.183%
Fördel -0.051%
Kelly -0.071%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.93%27.92%27.67%30.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.333.353.5932.79%30.04%29.85%27.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 72.20%1.39rättvist odds
EV -1.81%
Fördel -1.33%
Kelly -5.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.51%72.08%72.33%73.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.281.331.331.3678.13%75.39%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Diana Shnaider (Hemma): 27.80%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 72.20%. För Diana Shnaider (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.60. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.59, med väntevärdet -0.183%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.183%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.29%E -0.365%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-10 22:30
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-10 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:25
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 22:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:35
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:54
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:55
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 22:54
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 22:55
DraftKings🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:54
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 22:35
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -4.35%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-10 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 22:30
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 15:15
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:09
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 02:20
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 22:45
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 22:45
GTbets🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:28
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:29
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:55
ReBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:45
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:25
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 22:45
NordicBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:30
Betsson🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:30
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:45
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 22:45
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:55
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 22:28
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 22:28
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 22:55
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 21:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 16:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%0.6%2026-08-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
ProphetX◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-08-10 22:55
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-08-10 22:55