Idioma:Español
Diana Shnaider v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Diana Shnaider (Local)
Predicción 27.80%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.183%
Ventaja -0.051%
Kelly -0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%27.92%27.67%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.333.353.5932.79%30.04%29.85%27.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 72.20%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -5.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%72.08%72.33%73.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.331.331.3678.13%75.39%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Diana Shnaider (Local): 27.80%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 72.20%. Para Diana Shnaider (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.60. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.59, con un valor esperado de -0.183%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.183%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.29%E -0.365%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -4.35%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |