Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-08-10 23:08 UTC

Final: Diana Shnaider 0–2 Iga Swiatek

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Previsão 27.80%3.60odd justa
EV -0.183%
Vantagem -0.051%
Kelly -0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%27.92%27.67%30.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.333.353.5932.79%30.04%29.85%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 72.20%1.39odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -5.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.51%72.08%72.33%73.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.331.331.3678.13%75.39%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Diana Shnaider (Local): 27.80%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 72.20%. Para Diana Shnaider (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.60. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.59, com valor esperado de -0.183%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.183%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.29%E -0.365%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-10 22:30
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-10 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:25
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 22:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:35
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:54
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:55
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 22:54
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 22:55
DraftKings🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:54
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 22:35
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -4.35%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-10 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 22:30
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 15:15
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:09
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 02:20
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 22:45
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 22:45
GTbets🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:28
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:29
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:55
ReBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:45
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 22:25
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 22:45
NordicBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:30
Betsson🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:30
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:45
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 22:45
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:55
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 22:28
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 22:28
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:24
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 16:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 22:55
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 21:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%0.6%2026-08-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-10 22:55
ProphetX◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-08-10 22:55
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-08-10 22:55