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Diana Shnaider v Iga Swiatek
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Diana Shnaider (Хозяева)
Прогноз 27.80%3.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.183%
Преимущество -0.051%
Kelly -0.071%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.59
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.93%27.92%27.67%30.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.333.353.5932.79%30.04%29.85%27.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Iga Swiatek (Гости)
Прогноз 72.20%1.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.81%
Преимущество -1.33%
Kelly -5.04%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.51%72.08%72.33%73.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.331.331.3678.13%75.39%75.19%73.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Diana Shnaider (Хозяева): 27.80%; Iga Swiatek (Гости): 72.20%. Для исхода «Diana Shnaider (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.60. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.59, математическое ожидание — -0.183%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.183%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.29%E -0.365%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -4.35%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |