Langue:Français
Diana Shnaider v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Diana Shnaider (Local)
Prévision 27.80%3.60cote équitable
EV -0.183%
Avantage -0.051%
Kelly -0.071%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%27.92%27.67%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.353.5932.79%30.04%29.85%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.20%1.39cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -5.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.51%72.08%72.33%73.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.331.331.3678.13%75.39%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Diana Shnaider (Local) : 27.80% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 72.20%. Pour Diana Shnaider (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.60. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.59, pour une espérance de -0.183% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.183%E -0.051%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.29%E -0.365%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -4.35%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.87%E -5.32%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.42%E -4.14%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.59%E -5.93%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.56%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 22:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.54%E -1.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.15%E -4.73%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 22:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.81%E -1.33%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.26%E -2.43%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -3.98%E -2.99%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |