Language:English
Carol Zhao v Magda Linette
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carol Zhao (Local)
Prediction 11.26%8.88fair odd
EV +12.55%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.175%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.35%11.27%13.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.808.468.5010.0014.71%11.81%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magda Linette (Visit)
Prediction 88.74%1.13fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -23.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.08%88.65%88.73%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.67%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carol Zhao (Local): 11.26%; Magda Linette (Visit): 88.74%. For Carol Zhao (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.88. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.55%E +1.26%K +1.39%G +0.175% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +9.18%E +0.946%K +1.05%G +0.097% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +8.05%E +0.839%K +0.936%G +0.075% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +1.07%E +0.119%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 20:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.52%E -0.173%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.27%E -3.00%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.59%E -8.34%K -286.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -6.58%E -0.793%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -7.14%E -0.866%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.71%E -7.41%K -192.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 20:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -23.46%E -3.45%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -2.38%E -2.16%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 20:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.09% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.91% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
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