Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carol Zhao v Magda Linette

2026-08-03 15:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carol Zhao (Local)

Prediction 12.53%7.98fair odd
EV +6.47%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +0.863%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%12.57%12.59%13.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.148.508.5014.29%12.29%11.76%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magda Linette (Visit)

Prediction 87.47%1.14fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -3.44%
Kelly -37.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.42%87.43%87.41%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.071.1094.34%93.21%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carol Zhao (Local): 12.53%; Magda Linette (Visit): 87.47%. For Carol Zhao (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.98. 15 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.50, producing a positive expected value of +6.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +6.47%E +0.762%K +0.863%G +0.056%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.212%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:14
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.212%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:15
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.212%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 23:34
Marathon Bet7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -1.04%E -0.132%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -5.53%E -5.12%K -69.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:54
Bovada7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -2.92%E -0.377%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.65%E -4.27%K -51.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:54
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.05%E -0.807%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.53%E -5.12%K -69.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:34
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.05%E -0.807%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.53%E -5.12%K -69.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:19
theScore Bet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.18%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.53%E -5.12%K -69.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.31%E -1.76%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.78%E -3.44%K -37.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%5.1%2026-08-02 01:45