StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Carol Zhao v Magda Linette

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-03 20:16 UTC

Endstand: Carol Zhao 1–2 Magda Linette

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Carol Zhao (Heim)

Prognose 11.26%8.88faire Quote
EV +12.55%
Vorteil +1.26%
Kelly +1.39%
Wachstum +0.175%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.58%11.35%11.27%13.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.808.468.5010.0014.71%11.81%11.76%10.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Magda Linette (Auswärts)

Prognose 88.74%1.13faire Quote
EV -2.38%
Vorteil -2.16%
Kelly -23.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.08%88.65%88.73%90.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.67%93.46%90.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Carol Zhao (Heim): 11.26%; Magda Linette (Auswärts): 88.74%. Für Carol Zhao (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.88. 16 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.55%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.55%E +1.26%K +1.39%G +0.175%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 19:20
Pinnacle🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +9.18%E +0.946%K +1.05%G +0.097%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +8.05%E +0.839%K +0.936%G +0.075%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 14:49
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 20:14
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:45
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 14:49
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 20:15
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:40
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:20
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:05
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:10
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +1.07%E +0.119%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 20:03
BetOnline.ag🎯8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 14:50
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.52%E -0.173%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:44
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.27%E -3.00%K -36.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 14:45
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 20:15
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:55
BetAnything🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:44
Fliff🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.59%E -8.34%K -286.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -6.58%E -0.793%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 20:05
BetMGM🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -7.14%E -0.866%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 04:35
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 14:50
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:39
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 14:55
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.71%E -7.41%K -192.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 20:14
NordicBet🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:15
Betsson🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:15
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 20:05
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 20:08
Marathon Bet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -23.46%E -3.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -2.38%E -2.16%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-08-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
ProphetX10.70I 9.35%NM 9.09%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.91%2.8%2026-08-03 20:15
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%3.4%2026-08-03 20:15