Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Carol Zhao v Magda Linette

Início: 2026-08-03 20:16 UTC

Final: Carol Zhao 1–2 Magda Linette

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Carol Zhao (Local)

Previsão 11.26%8.88odd justa
EV +12.55%
Vantagem +1.26%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.175%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.58%11.35%11.27%13.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.808.468.5010.0014.71%11.81%11.76%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Previsão 88.74%1.13odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -23.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.08%88.65%88.73%90.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.67%93.46%90.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carol Zhao (Local): 11.26%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 88.74%. Para Carol Zhao (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.88. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.55%E +1.26%K +1.39%G +0.175%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 19:20
Pinnacle🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +9.18%E +0.946%K +1.05%G +0.097%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +8.05%E +0.839%K +0.936%G +0.075%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 14:49
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 20:14
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:45
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 14:49
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 20:15
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:40
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:20
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:05
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:10
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +1.07%E +0.119%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 20:03
BetOnline.ag🎯8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 14:50
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.52%E -0.173%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:44
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.27%E -3.00%K -36.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 14:45
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 20:15
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:55
BetAnything🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:44
Fliff🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.59%E -8.34%K -286.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -6.58%E -0.793%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 20:05
BetMGM🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -7.14%E -0.866%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 04:35
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 14:50
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:39
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 14:55
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.71%E -7.41%K -192.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 20:14
NordicBet🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:15
Betsson🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:15
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 20:05
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 20:08
Marathon Bet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -23.46%E -3.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -2.38%E -2.16%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-08-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-08-03 20:15
ProphetX10.70I 9.35%NM 9.09%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.91%2.8%2026-08-03 20:15
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%3.4%2026-08-03 20:15