Idioma:Español
Carol Zhao v Magda Linette
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carol Zhao (Local)
Predicción 11.26%8.88momio equitativo
EV +12.55%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.175%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.58%11.35%11.27%13.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.808.468.5010.0014.71%11.81%11.76%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Magda Linette (Visitante)
Predicción 88.74%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -23.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.08%88.65%88.73%90.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.67%93.46%90.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Carol Zhao (Local): 11.26%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 88.74%. Para Carol Zhao (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.88. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +12.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.55%E +1.26%K +1.39%G +0.175% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +9.18%E +0.946%K +1.05%G +0.097% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +8.05%E +0.839%K +0.936%G +0.075% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.93%E +0.729%K +0.815%G +0.056% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +1.07%E +0.119%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 20:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -1.18%E -0.134%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.52%E -0.173%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.27%E -3.00%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.33%E -0.509%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -4.89%E -0.579%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.59%E -8.34%K -286.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -6.58%E -0.793%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -7.14%E -0.866%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.93%E -5.59%K -98.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.77%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.71%E -7.41%K -192.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -16.26%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.16%E -3.85%K -51.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 20:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -23.46%E -3.45%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -2.38%E -2.16%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 20:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.09% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.91% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |