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Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Antonia Ruzic (Local)
Prediction 19.43%5.15fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 5.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.03%19.63%19.41%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.754.755.4123.81%21.06%21.05%18.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 80.57%1.24fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -16.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.37%80.59%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2087.72%85.10%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Antonia Ruzic (Local): 19.43%; Madison Keys (Visit): 80.57%. For Antonia Ruzic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%EV +5.11%E +0.944%K +1.16%G +0.059% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| 1xBet | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +3.16%E +0.596%K +0.734%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +2.00%E +0.380%K +0.470%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:17 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:17 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betsson | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.83%E -0.774%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:13 |
| Fanatics | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| ReBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.57%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.43%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -5.77%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| BetAnything | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Fliff | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.66%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 10:49 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betano_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 13:29 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 13:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.43%E -4.10%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| ProphetX | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.79% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.21% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Novig | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.09% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |