Idioma:Español
Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Antonia Ruzic (Local)
Predicción 19.43%5.15momio equitativo
EV +5.11%
Ventaja +0.944%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.03%19.63%19.41%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.754.755.4123.81%21.06%21.05%18.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Madison Keys (Visitante)
Predicción 80.57%1.24momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -16.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.78%80.37%80.59%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.181.181.2087.72%85.10%84.75%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Antonia Ruzic (Local): 19.43%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 80.57%. Para Antonia Ruzic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.15. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.41, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.11%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%EV +5.11%E +0.944%K +1.16%G +0.059% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| 1xBet | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +3.16%E +0.596%K +0.734%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +2.00%E +0.380%K +0.470%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:17 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:17 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betsson | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.83%E -0.774%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:13 |
| Fanatics | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| ReBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.57%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.43%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -5.77%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| BetAnything | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Fliff | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.66%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 10:49 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| betano_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 13:29 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 13:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.43%E -4.10%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| ProphetX | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.79% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.21% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Novig | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.09% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |