Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 20:21 UTC

Score final : Antonia Ruzic 0–2 Madison Keys

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Prévision 19.43%5.15cote équitable
EV +5.11%
Avantage +0.944%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 5.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%19.63%19.41%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.754.755.4123.81%21.06%21.05%18.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.57%1.24cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.76%
Kelly -16.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.78%80.37%80.59%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.181.2087.72%85.10%84.75%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Antonia Ruzic (Local) : 19.43% ; Madison Keys (Visiteur) : 80.57%. Pour Antonia Ruzic (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.15. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.41, soit une espérance positive de +5.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%EV +5.11%E +0.944%K +1.16%G +0.059%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 20:20
1xBet5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +3.16%E +0.596%K +0.734%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:14
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +2.00%E +0.380%K +0.470%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:17
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 19:15
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:19
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:15
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:15
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:14
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:00
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:14
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:20
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:15
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:20
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:17
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Betsson4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:20
NordicBet4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.83%E -0.774%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:13
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:40
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 19:15
DraftKings4.89I 20.45%NM 19.57%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.43%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 20:20
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -5.77%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:16
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:40
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:20
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:19
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:20
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:00
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 20:19
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:20
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:20
theScore Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.66%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:19
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:19
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:20
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 10:49
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 10:45
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:19
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:20
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-04 20:20
betano_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:29
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:28
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.43%E -4.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:18
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:19
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-04 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%1.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%1.3%2026-08-04 20:18
ProphetX5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.79%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.21%2.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 17.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.09%3.2%2026-08-04 20:20