Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Antonia Ruzic v Madison Keys

Inizio: 2026-08-04 20:21 UTC

Finale: Antonia Ruzic 0–2 Madison Keys

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Antonia Ruzic (Casa)

Previsione 19.43%5.15quota equa
EV +5.11%
Vantaggio +0.944%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.03%19.63%19.41%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.754.755.4123.81%21.06%21.05%18.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Madison Keys (Trasferta)

Previsione 80.57%1.24quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -2.76%
Kelly -16.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.78%80.37%80.59%81.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.181.181.2087.72%85.10%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Antonia Ruzic (Casa): 19.43%; Madison Keys (Trasferta): 80.57%. Per Antonia Ruzic (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.15. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.41, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.11%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%EV +5.11%E +0.944%K +1.16%G +0.059%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 20:20
1xBet5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +3.16%E +0.596%K +0.734%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:14
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +2.00%E +0.380%K +0.470%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:17
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 19:15
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:19
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:15
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:15
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:14
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:00
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:14
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:20
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:15
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:20
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:17
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Betsson4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:20
NordicBet4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -3.64%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -3.83%E -0.774%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:13
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:40
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 19:15
DraftKings4.89I 20.45%NM 19.57%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.43%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 20:20
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -5.77%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:16
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:40
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:20
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:19
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:20
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:00
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 20:19
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:20
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.34%E -6.38%K -48.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:20
theScore Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.66%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:19
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.12%E -3.46%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:19
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:20
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 10:49
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 10:45
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:19
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:20
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.54%E -5.63%K -40.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-04 20:20
betano_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:29
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -4.93%E -4.17%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:28
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.43%E -4.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.73%E -4.90%K -33.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:18
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.31%E -2.76%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:19
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -8.15%E -7.15%K -58.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-04 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%1.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%1.3%2026-08-04 20:18
ProphetX5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.79%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.21%2.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 17.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.09%3.2%2026-08-04 20:20