Language:English
Xinyu Wang v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xinyu Wang (Local)
Prediction 23.57%4.24fair odd
EV +16.18%
Edge +3.28%
Kelly +4.12%
Growth +0.666%
assuming max odds 4.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%23.56%23.37%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.803.754.9329.41%26.29%26.67%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 76.43%1.31fair odd
EV +0.129%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.417%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.81%76.44%76.63%80.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.251.251.3186.21%79.75%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 23.57%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 76.43%. For Xinyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV +16.18%E +3.28%K +4.12%G +0.666% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +6.04%E +1.34%K +1.73%G +0.104% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.81%E -8.31%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 11:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-26 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.03%E -0.244%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.56%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 11:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-26 11:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -11.34%E -9.77%K -70.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-26 11:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-26 11:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-26 11:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-26 11:03 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 11:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 11:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-26 10:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 11:07 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 10:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.88%E -5.85%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-26 11:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82% | 3.6% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |