مدرسة الاحتمالات

Xinyu Wang v Naomi Osaka

البداية: 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Xinyu Wang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.57%4.24السعر العادل
EV +16.18%
الأفضلية +3.28%
Kelly +4.12%
النمو +0.666%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.44%23.56%23.37%27.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.803.754.9329.41%26.29%26.67%20.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Naomi Osaka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.43%1.31السعر العادل
EV +0.129%
الأفضلية +0.099%
Kelly +0.417%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.81%76.44%76.63%80.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.251.251.3186.21%79.75%80.00%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV +16.18%E +3.28%K +4.12%G +0.666%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +6.04%E +1.34%K +1.73%G +0.104%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 11:10
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 11:10
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.81%E -8.31%K -54.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:08
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 11:09
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 11:08
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.03%E -0.244%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 11:09
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 11:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.56%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 11:06
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 11:08
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:09
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:09
ReBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 10:59
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 11:04
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -11.34%E -9.77%K -70.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-26 11:09
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:03
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:05
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 11:05
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:03
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:09
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 11:04
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 11:08
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-26 11:05
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-26 11:06
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%4.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 10:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 11:07
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 10:59
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:04
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.88%E -5.85%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 11:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-26 11:10
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-06-26 11:10
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%3.6%2026-06-26 11:10