La escuela de los momios

Xinyu Wang v Naomi Osaka

Inicio: 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Predicción 23.57%4.24momio equitativo
EV +16.18%
Ventaja +3.28%
Kelly +4.12%
Crecimiento +0.666%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.44%23.56%23.37%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.803.754.9329.41%26.29%26.67%20.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 76.43%1.31momio equitativo
EV +0.129%
Ventaja +0.099%
Kelly +0.417%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.81%76.44%76.63%80.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.251.251.3186.21%79.75%80.00%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV +16.18%E +3.28%K +4.12%G +0.666%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +6.04%E +1.34%K +1.73%G +0.104%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 11:10
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 11:10
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.81%E -8.31%K -54.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:08
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 11:09
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 11:08
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.03%E -0.244%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 11:09
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 11:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.56%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 11:06
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 11:08
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:09
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:09
ReBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 10:59
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 11:04
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -11.34%E -9.77%K -70.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-26 11:09
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:03
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:05
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 11:05
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:03
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:09
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 11:04
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 11:08
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-26 11:05
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-26 11:06
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%4.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 10:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 11:07
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 10:59
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:04
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.88%E -5.85%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 11:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-26 11:10
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-06-26 11:10
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%3.6%2026-06-26 11:10