L’École des cotes

Xinyu Wang v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 23.57%4.24cote équitable
EV +16.18%
Avantage +3.28%
Kelly +4.12%
Croissance +0.666%

avec la cote maximale 4.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.44%23.56%23.37%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.803.754.9329.41%26.29%26.67%20.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.43%1.31cote équitable
EV +0.129%
Avantage +0.099%
Kelly +0.417%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.81%76.44%76.63%80.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.251.251.3186.21%79.75%80.00%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV +16.18%E +3.28%K +4.12%G +0.666%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +6.04%E +1.34%K +1.73%G +0.104%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 11:10
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 11:10
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +3.69%E +0.838%K +1.08%G +0.040%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.81%E -8.31%K -54.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:08
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 11:09
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 11:08
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.03%E -0.244%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 11:09
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 11:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.56%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 11:06
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 11:08
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:09
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%EV -7.15%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.28%E -6.90%K -41.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:09
ReBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 10:59
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 11:04
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -11.34%E -9.77%K -70.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-26 11:09
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:03
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:05
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.69%E -2.93%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 11:05
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:03
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 11:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.75%E -5.53%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:09
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.51%E -6.21%K -35.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 11:09
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.22%E -4.21%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 11:04
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -12.81%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.04%E -7.60%K -47.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 11:08
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-26 11:05
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -14.46%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-26 11:06
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +0.129%E +0.099%K +0.417%G +0.001%4.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 10:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:09
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -16.34%E -4.60%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.635%E -0.489%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:04
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 11:07
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.46%E -3.57%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 10:59
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:04
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -18.70%E -5.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.16%E -1.69%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 11:04
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.88%E -5.85%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -2.93%E -2.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 11:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-26 11:10
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-06-26 11:10
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%3.6%2026-06-26 11:10