Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xinyu Wang v Elina Svitolina

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 31.45%3.18fair odd
EV +10.09%
Edge +2.88%
Kelly +4.04%
Growth +0.407%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%31.29%32.18%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.042.953.5036.36%32.93%33.90%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visit)

Prediction 68.55%1.46fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%68.71%67.82%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.93%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 31.45%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 68.55%. For Xinyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +10.09%E +2.88%K +4.04%G +0.407%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +5.37%E +1.60%K +2.29%G +0.123%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.80%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.86%E +0.874%K +1.26%G +0.036%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:48
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 14:10
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 10:20
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
DraftKings🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 10:59
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 12:49
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:10
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:20
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:40
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.86%E -0.596%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 14:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 18:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:10
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:10
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:49
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.84%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 17:30
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 16:10
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.98%E -1.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -11.30%E -4.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 17:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:40
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:39
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-24 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-06-24 21:30
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%4.4%2026-06-24 21:50