La escuela de los momios

Xinyu Wang v Elina Svitolina

Inicio: 2026-06-26 09:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Predicción 31.45%3.18momio equitativo
EV +10.09%
Ventaja +2.88%
Kelly +4.04%
Crecimiento +0.407%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%31.29%32.18%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.042.953.5036.36%32.93%33.90%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 68.55%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.71%67.82%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.93%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +10.09%E +2.88%K +4.04%G +0.407%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 10:20
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +5.37%E +1.60%K +2.29%G +0.123%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 14:10
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.80%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:20
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.86%E +0.874%K +1.26%G +0.036%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:48
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 14:10
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 10:20
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
DraftKings3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 10:59
SportsBet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 12:49
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:10
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:40
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.86%E -0.596%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 14:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 18:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:10
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:10
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:49
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.84%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:30
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 17:30
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 17:30
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:10
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 16:10
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 21:50
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.98%E -1.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -11.30%E -4.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 17:50
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:39
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-24 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-06-24 21:30
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%4.4%2026-06-24 21:50