La scuola delle quote

Xinyu Wang v Elina Svitolina

Inizio: 2026-06-26 09:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Xinyu Wang (Casa)

Previsione 31.45%3.18quota equa
EV +10.09%
Vantaggio +2.88%
Kelly +4.04%
Crescita +0.407%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.54%31.29%32.18%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.042.953.5036.36%32.93%33.90%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elina Svitolina (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.55%1.46quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.899%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%68.71%67.82%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.93%72.46%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +10.09%E +2.88%K +4.04%G +0.407%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 10:20
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +5.37%E +1.60%K +2.29%G +0.123%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 14:10
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.80%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:20
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.86%E +0.874%K +1.26%G +0.036%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:48
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 14:10
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 10:20
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
DraftKings3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 10:59
SportsBet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 12:49
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:10
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:40
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.86%E -0.596%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 14:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 18:50
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:10
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:10
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:49
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.84%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:30
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 17:30
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 17:30
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:10
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 16:10
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 21:50
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.98%E -1.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -11.30%E -4.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 17:50
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:39
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-24 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-06-24 21:30
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%4.4%2026-06-24 21:50