Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang v Elina Svitolina

Início: 2026-06-26 09:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Previsão 31.45%3.18odd justa
EV +10.09%
Vantagem +2.88%
Kelly +4.04%
Crescimento +0.407%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.54%31.29%32.18%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.042.953.5036.36%32.93%33.90%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Previsão 68.55%1.46odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.899%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%68.71%67.82%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.93%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Xinyu Wang (Local): 31.45%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 68.55%. Para Xinyu Wang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.18. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +10.09%E +2.88%K +4.04%G +0.407%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +8.52%E +2.47%K +3.48%G +0.296%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +5.37%E +1.60%K +2.29%G +0.123%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +3.80%E +1.15%K +1.65%G +0.063%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.86%E +0.874%K +1.26%G +0.036%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 15:48
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 14:10
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 10:20
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.23%E +0.686%K +0.990%G +0.022%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.83%E -6.64%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 12:50
DraftKings🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 10:59
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV +1.91%E +0.591%K +0.854%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -10.21%E -7.79%K -32.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 12:49
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 13:10
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:20
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.655%E +0.205%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 10:40
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.917%E -0.291%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.52%E -7.21%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:20
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -1.86%E -0.596%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 14:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 18:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 13:10
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:10
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 16:49
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.84%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 17:30
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 16:40
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 16:10
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.98%E -1.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -11.30%E -4.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 17:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:40
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.29%E -0.899%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:39
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.78%E -4.98%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-24 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-06-24 21:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%2.7%2026-06-24 21:30
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%4.4%2026-06-24 21:50