StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka

Matchstart: 2026-06-27 09:13 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova (Hemma)

Prognos 42.44%2.36rättvist odds
EV +4.83%
Fördel +1.95%
Kelly +3.28%
Tillväxt +0.158%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.56%42.86%42.23%48.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.212.232.4752.36%45.18%44.84%40.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Borta)

Prognos 57.56%1.74rättvist odds
EV +3.61%
Fördel +2.00%
Kelly +4.51%
Tillväxt +0.163%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.48%57.14%57.77%61.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.641.621.8065.36%61.14%61.73%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Karolina Muchova (Hemma): 42.44%; Naomi Osaka (Borta): 57.56%. För Karolina Muchova (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.36. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.47, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.94%E -9.92%K -20.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.61%E +2.00%K +4.51%G +0.163%7.9%2026-06-27 09:10
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -15.97%E -8.07%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +1.88%E +1.06%K +2.44%G +0.046%7.0%2026-06-27 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-27 09:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 09:09
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 09:09
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -18.52%E -9.64%K -20.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 09:10
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 09:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 09:09
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 09:07
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 09:08
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:09
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:09
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:09
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV +2.70%E +1.12%K +1.90%G +0.052%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-27 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 09:09
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 09:09
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 09:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 09:09
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV +0.158%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 08:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 08:39
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.690%E -0.295%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 08:50
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 09:09
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 09:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 09:09
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 08:10
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.01%E +0.423%K +0.730%G +0.007%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 08:49
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 09:09
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 08:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 08:39
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 07:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 09:09
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 09:08
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV +4.83%E +1.95%K +3.28%G +0.158%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 09:09
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 09:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 08:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 08:29
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 08:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-06-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-27 09:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%3.1%2026-06-27 09:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%8.9%2026-06-27 09:10