مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka

البداية: 2026-06-27 09:13 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karolina Muchova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.44%2.36السعر العادل
EV +4.83%
الأفضلية +1.95%
Kelly +3.28%
النمو +0.158%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.56%42.86%42.23%48.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.212.232.4752.36%45.18%44.84%40.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Naomi Osaka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.56%1.74السعر العادل
EV +3.61%
الأفضلية +2.00%
Kelly +4.51%
النمو +0.163%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.48%57.14%57.77%61.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.641.621.8065.36%61.14%61.73%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.94%E -9.92%K -20.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.61%E +2.00%K +4.51%G +0.163%7.9%2026-06-27 09:10
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -15.97%E -8.07%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +1.88%E +1.06%K +2.44%G +0.046%7.0%2026-06-27 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:10
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-27 09:10
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 09:09
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 09:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 09:09
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -18.52%E -9.64%K -20.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 09:10
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 09:09
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 09:09
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 09:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 09:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 09:09
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 09:07
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 09:08
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:09
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:09
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 09:09
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV +2.70%E +1.12%K +1.90%G +0.052%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-27 09:10
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 09:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 09:09
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 09:09
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 09:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 09:09
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 09:09
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV +0.158%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 08:39
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 08:39
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.690%E -0.295%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 08:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 09:09
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 09:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 09:09
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 09:09
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 09:09
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 08:10
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.01%E +0.423%K +0.730%G +0.007%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 09:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 08:49
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 09:09
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 08:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 08:39
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 07:09
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 09:09
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 09:08
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV +4.83%E +1.95%K +3.28%G +0.158%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 09:09
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 09:09
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 08:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 08:29
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 08:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-06-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-27 09:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%3.1%2026-06-27 09:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%8.9%2026-06-27 09:10