La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +1.95%
Kelly +3.28%
Crecimiento +0.158%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.56%42.86%42.23%48.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.212.232.4752.36%45.18%44.84%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 57.56%1.74momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +4.51%
Crecimiento +0.163%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.48%57.14%57.77%61.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.621.8065.36%61.14%61.73%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.94%E -9.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.61%E +2.00%K +4.51%G +0.163% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -15.97%E -8.07%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +1.88%E +1.06%K +2.44%G +0.046% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -18.52%E -9.64%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 09:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 09:08 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV +2.70%E +1.12%K +1.90%G +0.052% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| ReBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV +0.158%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.690%E -0.295%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 08:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.01%E +0.423%K +0.730%G +0.007% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 07:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 09:08 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV +4.83%E +1.95%K +3.28%G +0.158% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 08:29 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 08:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 3.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |