Langue:Français
Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prévision 42.44%2.36cote équitable
EV +4.83%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +3.28%
Croissance +0.158%
avec la cote maximale 2.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.56%42.86%42.23%48.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.212.232.4752.36%45.18%44.84%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.56%1.74cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +4.51%
Croissance +0.163%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.48%57.14%57.77%61.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.621.8065.36%61.14%61.73%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karolina Muchova (Local) : 42.44% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 57.56%. Pour Karolina Muchova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.36. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.47, soit une espérance positive de +4.83%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.94%E -9.92%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.61%E +2.00%K +4.51%G +0.163% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -15.97%E -8.07%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +1.88%E +1.06%K +2.44%G +0.046% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.730%E +0.417%K +0.973%G +0.007% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.421%E -0.243%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.42%E -6.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -18.52%E -9.64%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 09:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 09:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV +2.70%E +1.12%K +1.90%G +0.052% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV +0.158%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.690%E -0.295%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.90%E -4.94%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.01%E +0.423%K +0.730%G +0.007% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 08:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.48%E -5.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +1.86%E +0.773%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 08:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 08:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 07:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.63%E -6.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 09:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV +4.83%E +1.95%K +3.28%G +0.158% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.583%E +0.246%K +0.425%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 08:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -0.266%E -0.113%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.93%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 08:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 3.1% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 09:10 |