Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 65.85%1.52fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.89%65.85%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.66%69.69%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.818%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.11%34.15%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.17%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 65.85%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 34.15%. For Clara Tauson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.45%E +0.818%K +1.23%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.45%E -7.68%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-25 15:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -1.99%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.47%E -6.09%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -3.69%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.06%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.40%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -6.43%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-25 15:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.82%E -3.30%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -9.16%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 3.4% | 2026-06-25 15:10 |